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These data are entered in to the Estimation and Projection Bundle (EPP) software package which fits an easy epidemiological product on the epidemic framework defined. EPP finds the top fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence after some time, and calibrates that curve dependant on prevalence located in any nationwide surveys or default values in the event there isn't a national study available. For international locations with little offered prevalence knowledge (below 3 reliable surveillance web pages) a point prevalence estimate and projection is produced using spreadsheet models (the Workbook Process). The ensuing place prevalence estimates for various yrs are entered into EPP to find the most effective fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence as time passes.
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If these additional years are dominated by declines in physical and mental potential, the implications for older individuals and for Modern society are more destructive.
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Method of estimation: Modelling, applying various inputs unique into the HIV epidemic context, is usually employed to obtain an estimate of the HIV prevalence level. UNAIDS and WHO aid most international locations to create estimates of HIV prevalence each year utilizing Spectrum.
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